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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 01/23 11:50
Cash Cattle Begin to Trade, Steady to $5.00 Higher
Some light cash cattle trade has been reported in the South at mostly $233
which is mostly steady with the previous week's weighted average, and some
dressed cattle have traded at $370 which is $5.00 higher than last week's
weighted average.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
Thus far, it's been a rallying day for the cattle complex, while the lean
hog contracts trade mixed. Some light cash cattle trade has developed in the
South at $233 and some Northern business has been noted at $370 which is $5.00
higher than the previous week's weighted average. March corn is up 5 1/2 cents
per bushel and March soybean meal is up $3.60. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
is down 243.65 points and the NASDAQ is up 121.64 points.
Friday's export report shared that beef net sales of 15,400 mt for 2026 were
primarily for Hong Kong (3,700 mt), Japan (3,100 mt) and Mexico (2,500 mt).
Pork net sales of 33,200 mt for 2026 were primarily for Mexico (11,800 mt),
South Korea (5,100 mt) and Japan (3,400 mt).
LIVE CATTLE:
The live cattle complex is trading sharply higher into midday Friday as
traders have grown more confident, and some light cash cattle trade has
developed. February live cattle are up $2.80 at $235.17, April live cattle are
up $2.60 at $237.42 and June live cattle are up $2.35 at $233.25. Some light
trade has been reported mostly in the South at $233 which is fully steady with
last week's weighted average. And some Northern dressed cattle have also traded
at $370 which is $5.00 higher than the previous week's weighted average. Do
note that later this afternoon the monthly Cattle on Feed report is set to be
unveiled and more cash cattle trade will likely develop after that.
Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice up $1.25 ($368.70) and select down $0.43
($361.30) with a movement of 80 loads (57.92 loads of choice, 10.00 loads of
select, 5.90 loads of trim and 6.05 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle complex is also trading slightly higher, but its gusto
this morning hasn't been as aggressive or notable as the live cattle market's,
which could potentially be because demand in the countryside has been slightly
off. January feeders are up $1.87 at $365.60, March feeders are up $1.72 at
$361.00 and April feeders are up $1.22 at $359.17. This afternoon's Cattle on
Feed report is likely going to show a bullish outlook for the feeder cattle
complex as placements are again anticipated to be lower than a year ago.
LEAN HOGS:
The lean hog complex is trading mixed as the nearby contracts are trading a
bit lower while the deferred months continue to scale higher. February lean
hogs are down $0.05 at $88.42, April lean hogs are down $0.15 at $96.20 and
June lean hogs are down $0.07 at $108.55. The nearby contracts are likely
trading lower as the market experiences some technical exhaustion following the
sharp rally the market has recently seen.
The projected lean hog index for 1/22/2026 is up $0.55 at $83.62 and the
actual index for 1/21/2026 is up $0.67 at $83.07. Hog prices average $80.86 on
the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, with a total movement of 432 head and a
five-day rolling average of $80.86 as well. Pork cutouts total 162.71 loads
with 145.74 loads of pork cuts and 16.97 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up
$1.46, $96.08.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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